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Red81
648812.8
129629.1
557225.8
Blue102
887416.7
384746.8
885820.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698940608010012014081102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#14
29.11.1
27.728.8
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
blue by 17.7
46.81.6
43.144.7
Auto19.6
Teleop21.4
End5.7
Second
25.81.1
26.527.5
Auto11.9
Teleop13.1
End0.8
red by 5.8
8858
#18
20.01.6
19.621.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Third
6488
#34
12.81.1
10.611.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 4.0
8874
#25
16.71.6
15.316.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned