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Red82
521213.2
817717.6
14836.4
Blue67
918112.1
941824.5
415315.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76512040601001208267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#5
36.40.4
36.236.6
Auto12.5
Teleop19.7
End4.2
red by 11.9
9418
#16
24.50.2
22.923.1
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
Second
8177
#32
17.60.4
17.117.5
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
red by 2.4
4153
#26
15.10.2
14.915.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Third
5212
#31
13.20.4
12.813.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 1.1
9181
#38
12.10.2
11.211.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned49%Ensemble oddsEarned