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Red78
271424.1
32427.8
664517.1
Blue78
908813.0
331034.7
541432.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72874060801001201407878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#9
27.8
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End0.8
blue by 6.9
3310
#13
34.7
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Second
2714
#30
24.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End1.8
blue by 8.2
5414
#17
32.3
Auto8.0
Teleop23.4
End0.9
Third
6645
#20
17.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.8
red by 4.1
9088
#35
13.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed