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Red66
808827.4
557225.8
542726.4
Blue53
129629.1
885820.0
712122.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95782040601201401606653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#12
27.41.6
29.127.5
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End1.7
blue by 1.7
1296
#14
29.11.3
28.827.5
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
Second
26.41.6
27.225.6
Auto11.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 3.6
7121
#19
22.81.3
22.521.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Third
25.81.6
27.525.9
Auto11.9
Teleop13.1
End0.8
red by 5.8
8858
#18
20.01.3
21.219.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed