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Red73
97863.3
941824.5
648812.8
Blue48
521213.2
284821.5
676812.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395502060807348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#16
24.51.1
23.124.2
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
red by 3.0
2848
#33
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.8
Second
6488
#34
12.81.1
11.712.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 0.5
5212
#31
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Third
9786
#43
3.31.1
2.33.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.6
blue by 9.6
6768
#28
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed