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Red31
461010.9
43328.0
874915.2
Blue40
750611.5
882711.7
801920.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2644010203040506070803140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8749
#29
15.20.4
10.210.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.2
blue by 5.1
20.20.8
15.514.6
Auto7.4
Teleop12.0
End0.9
Second
4610
#27
10.90.4
8.28.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 0.8
8827
#32
11.70.8
11.710.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Third
4332
#38
8.00.4
7.37.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 3.5
7506
#40
11.50.8
10.39.4
Auto6.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed