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Red41
914020.3
635715.7
91567.4
Blue40
88166.4
541712.8
258314.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283301020405060704140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.0
10.611.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 6.3
2583
#35
14.00.1
9.910.0
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Second
6357
#23
15.71.0
8.59.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
red by 2.9
5417
#12
12.80.1
12.312.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Third
9156
#17
7.41.0
6.97.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End0.4
red by 1.0
8816
#43
6.40.1
6.86.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed