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Red44
885816.0
711911.6
367620.4
Blue58
903413.0
95067.3
14835.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444325303540505560654458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3676
#28
20.40.7
10.311.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End1.2
blue by 15.4
148
#1
35.81.1
27.828.9
Auto14.7
Teleop16.6
End4.5
Second
8858
#18
16.00.4
17.017.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 3.0
13.01.1
6.47.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Third
7119
#33
11.60.4
10.711.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End0.8
red by 4.3
9506
#36
7.31.1
6.77.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed