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Red32
543117.9
461010.9
45979.4
Blue69
941817.3
129628.0
882711.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285902040801003269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#22
17.90.2
13.413.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
blue by 10.1
28.01.3
22.523.8
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Second
4610
#27
10.90.2
8.68.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 6.4
17.31.3
15.917.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Third
4597
#39
9.40.2
6.87.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End1.0
blue by 2.3
8827
#32
11.71.3
10.912.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed