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Red40
70917.6
129628.0
43328.0
Blue23
859814.9
887416.3
87329.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433002060801001204023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
23.022.5
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End1.4
red by 11.8
8874
#11
16.30.4
9.38.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Second
4332
#38
8.00.6
7.97.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 6.8
8598
#31
14.90.4
10.810.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Third
7091
#26
7.60.5
6.76.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 2.0
8732
#16
9.60.4
8.78.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed