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Red35
69018.6
543117.9
61719.3
Blue17
589410.7
43644.9
578813.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39150102030506070803517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#22
17.90.0
13.413.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
red by 4.5
5788
#25
13.40.0
8.68.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Second
6171
#24
9.30.0
10.810.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 1.4
5894
#13
10.70.0
5.35.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
6901
#20
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End1.0
red by 3.8
4364
#41
4.90.0
2.82.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned