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Red22
47174.2
65265.0
14835.8
Blue21
882711.7
88166.4
874915.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4634010203040506070802221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
35.81.5
29.327.8
Auto14.7
Teleop16.6
End4.5
red by 20.6
8749
#29
15.21.0
11.110.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.2
Second
6526
#30
5.01.5
3.52.0
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End-0.1
blue by 6.7
8827
#32
11.70.9
12.611.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Third
4717
#34
4.21.5
7.15.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 2.2
8816
#43
6.41.4
8.36.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed