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Red37
801920.2
367620.4
461010.9
Blue55
541712.8
635715.7
885816.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36373035404550553755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3676
#28
20.40.4
9.910.3
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End1.2
red by 4.3
8858
#18
16.01.4
15.517.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Second
20.20.3
15.215.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.0
End0.9
red by 4.6
6357
#23
15.71.4
7.08.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
4610
#27
10.90.3
7.98.2
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 1.9
5417
#12
12.81.4
10.912.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed