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Red29
47174.2
903413.0
885816.0
Blue39
859814.9
73215.8
543117.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35250204060801002939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#18
16.00.4
17.417.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 1.9
5431
#22
17.91.0
13.614.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
13.00.4
7.57.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 1.9
8598
#31
14.91.0
9.510.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Third
4717
#34
4.20.4
5.65.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 1.6
7321
#42
5.81.0
0.41.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed