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Red52
711911.6
70917.6
941817.3
Blue49
521212.0
589410.7
635715.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4125060801001205249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.5
17.217.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 1.6
6357
#23
15.71.6
9.511.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Second
7119
#33
11.60.5
11.111.6
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 0.4
5212
#15
12.01.6
9.310.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
7091
#26
7.60.5
6.77.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 3.1
5894
#13
10.71.6
5.97.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed