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Red40
88166.4
667236.7
32827.8
Blue48
61719.3
750611.5
461010.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47310204060801001204048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.1
27.727.7
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End2.3
red by 25.2
7506
#40
11.50.5
10.19.7
Auto6.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Second
3282
#19
7.80.1
6.96.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End0.8
blue by 3.1
4610
#27
10.90.5
8.88.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Third
8816
#43
6.40.1
6.36.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 2.8
6171
#24
9.30.5
10.910.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned