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Red41
589410.7
367620.4
941817.3
Blue34
463919.3
258314.0
70917.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394202060801001204134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3676
#28
20.40.6
10.511.1
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End1.2
red by 1.0
4639
#14
19.30.7
19.518.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Second
17.30.3
17.718.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 3.3
2583
#35
14.00.7
11.310.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Third
5894
#13
10.70.3
7.67.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 3.1
7091
#26
7.60.7
7.26.4
Auto5.4
Teleop1.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed