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Red46
887416.3
541712.8
61719.3
Blue36
32827.8
271422.3
47174.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353901002003004004636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8874
#11
16.30.3
9.910.2
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 6.0
2714
#10
22.30.3
22.922.7
Auto10.3
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
5417
#12
12.80.3
11.812.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.5
red by 5.0
3282
#19
7.80.3
6.86.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Third
6171
#24
9.30.3
10.410.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
red by 5.0
4717
#34
4.20.3
5.24.9
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed