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Red49
859814.9
711911.6
635715.7
Blue41
65265.0
874915.2
73215.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4016060801004941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#23
15.70.5
11.111.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
red by 0.5
8749
#29
15.21.4
11.813.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.2
Second
8598
#31
14.90.5
10.511.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.5
red by 9.0
7321
#42
5.81.4
1.42.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.7
Third
7119
#33
11.60.5
11.612.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End0.8
red by 6.6
6526
#30
5.01.4
4.25.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed