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Red54
667236.7
521212.0
750611.5
Blue25
885816.0
91567.4
461010.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563302040801001205425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.4
27.728.1
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End2.3
red by 20.7
8858
#18
16.00.5
17.016.5
Auto6.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Second
5212
#15
12.00.4
10.911.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 1.1
4610
#27
10.90.5
8.37.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Third
7506
#40
11.50.4
9.710.1
Auto6.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
red by 4.1
9156
#17
7.40.5
7.36.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed