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Red45
464121.8
941817.3
32827.8
Blue23
903413.0
65265.0
859814.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492404060804523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.2
16.817.0
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.1
red by 7.0
8598
#31
14.90.2
11.010.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.5
Second
17.30.2
18.018.3
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 4.3
13.00.2
7.97.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Third
3282
#19
7.80.2
6.66.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End0.8
red by 2.8
6526
#30
5.00.2
5.65.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed