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Red48
129628.0
521212.0
69018.6
Blue34
43328.0
541712.8
73215.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512104060801004834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.3
24.023.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End1.4
red by 15.2
5417
#12
12.80.6
12.112.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Second
5212
#15
12.00.3
11.310.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 4.0
4332
#38
8.00.6
7.58.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Third
6901
#20
8.60.3
7.57.2
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End1.0
red by 2.8
7321
#42
5.80.6
2.83.5
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed