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Red54
69018.6
667236.7
95067.3
Blue44
635715.7
271422.3
43328.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484930406070805444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.4
29.329.6
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End2.3
red by 14.4
2714
#10
22.30.0
23.823.8
Auto10.3
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
6901
#20
8.60.4
7.27.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 7.1
6357
#23
15.70.0
12.612.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
9506
#36
7.30.4
7.37.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End0.8
blue by 0.7
4332
#38
8.00.0
8.28.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed