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Red55
859814.9
464121.8
91567.4
Blue39
87329.6
47174.2
882711.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392902060805539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.1
17.018.1
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.1
red by 10.1
8827
#32
11.70.1
12.612.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Second
8598
#31
14.91.1
10.811.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.5
red by 5.2
8732
#16
9.60.1
9.69.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
Third
9156
#17
7.41.1
6.27.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End0.4
red by 3.2
4717
#34
4.20.1
4.95.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned