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Red35
88166.4
61719.3
885816.0
Blue58
129628.0
876910.0
711911.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33520204060803558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#18
16.00.5
17.517.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 12.0
28.00.4
23.423.8
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Second
6171
#24
9.30.5
10.410.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 2.4
7119
#33
11.60.4
12.512.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
8816
#43
6.40.8
4.13.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 3.6
8769
#21
10.00.4
9.29.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed