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Red60
69018.6
14835.8
712119.6
Blue49
750611.5
887416.3
635715.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633302040801006049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
35.80.5
28.529.0
Auto14.7
Teleop16.6
End4.5
red by 19.5
8874
#11
16.31.0
11.712.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Second
19.60.5
17.017.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 3.9
6357
#23
15.71.0
12.513.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
6901
#20
8.60.5
7.58.0
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End1.0
blue by 2.9
7506
#40
11.51.0
9.010.1
Auto6.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed