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Red71
14835.8
876910.0
88166.4
Blue53
32827.8
463919.3
45979.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494002060801007153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
35.81.8
30.532.3
Auto14.7
Teleop16.6
End4.5
red by 16.4
4639
#14
19.30.0
20.520.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Second
8769
#21
10.01.8
9.611.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 0.6
4597
#39
9.40.0
8.78.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Third
8816
#43
6.42.9
3.36.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 1.3
3282
#19
7.80.0
8.38.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned