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Red78
667236.7
461010.9
903413.0
Blue36
47174.2
69018.6
914020.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions612902040801007836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.8
32.334.1
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End2.3
red by 16.4
20.30.4
17.718.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Second
13.01.8
9.211.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.6
red by 4.4
6901
#20
8.60.4
7.57.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
4610
#27
10.91.8
9.711.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
red by 6.7
4717
#34
4.20.4
5.25.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed