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Red46
271422.3
70917.6
65265.0
Blue45
543117.9
91567.4
43328.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41340102030506070804645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
#10
22.30.0
22.722.7
Auto10.3
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 4.4
5431
#22
17.90.5
18.719.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
7091
#26
7.60.0
7.47.4
Auto5.4
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 0.4
4332
#38
8.00.5
8.28.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Third
6526
#30
5.00.0
6.26.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End-0.1
blue by 2.4
9156
#17
7.40.5
4.85.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed