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Red62
589410.7
882711.7
464121.8
Blue26
541712.8
86257.3
711911.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474002060801001206226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.7
20.521.2
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.1
red by 9.0
5417
#12
12.80.7
14.613.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Second
8827
#32
11.70.7
12.212.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 0.1
7119
#33
11.60.7
12.611.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
5894
#13
10.70.7
9.09.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 3.4
8625
#37
7.30.7
9.89.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed