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Red70
635715.7
129628.0
45979.4
Blue24
750611.5
43644.9
47174.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5818040801007024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.5
25.927.4
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End1.4
red by 16.5
7506
#40
11.50.3
11.611.4
Auto6.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Second
6357
#23
15.71.5
13.114.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
red by 10.8
4364
#41
4.90.3
3.73.4
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Third
4597
#39
9.41.5
9.010.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End1.0
red by 5.2
4717
#34
4.20.3
5.65.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed