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Red78
258314.0
43328.0
667236.7
Blue45
543117.9
88166.4
712119.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63472040801001207845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.6
34.134.7
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End2.3
red by 17.1
19.60.3
18.318.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
2583
#35
14.00.6
12.012.6
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End1.3
blue by 3.9
5431
#22
17.90.3
19.319.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Third
4332
#38
8.00.6
9.09.6
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 1.6
8816
#43
6.40.4
6.76.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed