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Red21
86257.3
61719.3
87329.6
Blue47
874915.2
95067.3
541712.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314302060802147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8732
#16
9.60.9
10.69.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
blue by 5.5
8749
#29
15.20.3
14.414.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End1.2
Second
6171
#24
9.30.9
9.88.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 3.5
5417
#12
12.80.3
13.914.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Third
8625
#37
7.30.9
9.18.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End0.2
blue by 0.1
9506
#36
7.30.3
9.09.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed