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Red52
32827.8
885816.0
589410.7
Blue51
43644.9
464121.8
367620.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3747102030607080905251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#18
16.00.1
17.117.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 5.8
21.80.6
21.221.8
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.1
Second
5894
#13
10.70.1
9.79.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 9.7
3676
#28
20.40.8
17.117.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End1.2
Third
3282
#19
7.80.1
8.38.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End0.8
red by 2.9
4364
#41
4.90.6
3.44.0
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed