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Red39
914020.3
73215.8
750611.5
Blue42
711911.6
801920.2
65265.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364102060801003942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.4
18.118.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 0.1
20.20.4
18.618.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.0
End0.9
Second
7506
#40
11.50.4
11.411.7
Auto6.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
blue by 0.1
7119
#33
11.60.4
11.911.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
7321
#42
5.80.4
4.14.5
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.7
red by 0.8
6526
#30
5.00.4
6.15.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned