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Red36
43328.0
801920.2
47174.2
Blue54
711911.6
258314.0
464121.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34530204060801003654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.1
18.117.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.0
End0.9
blue by 1.6
21.80.5
21.822.3
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.1
Second
4332
#38
8.01.1
9.68.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
blue by 6.0
2583
#35
14.00.5
12.613.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Third
4717
#34
4.21.1
5.44.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 7.4
7119
#33
11.60.5
11.512.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed