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Red43
73215.8
367620.4
61719.3
Blue24
91567.4
882711.7
69018.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353001020405060704324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3676
#28
20.40.9
17.918.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End1.2
red by 8.7
8827
#32
11.70.3
12.111.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Second
6171
#24
9.30.8
8.99.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
red by 0.6
6901
#20
8.60.3
8.88.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
7321
#42
5.80.8
4.55.3
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.7
blue by 1.6
9156
#17
7.40.3
6.96.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed