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Red25
70917.6
882711.7
95067.3
Blue29
69018.6
750611.5
32827.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30310102040502529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8827
#32
11.70.1
11.811.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 0.1
7506
#40
11.50.1
11.411.5
Auto6.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Second
7091
#26
7.60.1
7.87.6
Auto5.4
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 1.0
6901
#20
8.60.1
8.58.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Third
9506
#36
7.30.1
7.57.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End0.8
blue by 0.4
3282
#19
7.80.1
7.77.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed