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Red49
464121.8
87329.6
903413.0
Blue45
941817.3
61719.3
635715.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5247204060801004945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.5
22.321.8
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.1
red by 4.6
17.30.5
17.116.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Second
13.00.5
13.813.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 2.7
6357
#23
15.70.5
16.215.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End1.7
Third
8732
#16
9.60.5
10.510.0
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End0.2
red by 0.4
6171
#24
9.30.5
9.79.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed