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Red88
271422.3
129628.0
521212.0
Blue64
712119.6
464121.8
589410.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715502040801001208864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.6
28.128.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End1.4
red by 6.2
21.80.3
21.621.9
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.1
Second
2714
#10
22.30.6
22.422.9
Auto10.3
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 2.7
19.60.3
19.519.7
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Third
5212
#15
12.00.6
12.112.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 1.3
5894
#13
10.70.3
10.510.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.7