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Red76
914020.3
941817.3
258314.0
Blue47
543117.9
903413.0
578813.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564802040801007647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.5
19.820.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
red by 2.4
5431
#22
17.90.1
17.817.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
Second
17.30.5
16.717.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 3.9
5788
#25
13.40.1
13.313.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
2583
#35
14.00.5
13.413.9
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End1.3
red by 1.0
13.00.1
12.913.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.6