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Red72
331028.2
59089.0
975228.8
Blue65
268723.1
420615.4
667225.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675602040801001201401607265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.3
25.025.2
Auto12.9
Teleop15.1
End0.8
red by 3.8
25.01.8
16.815.0
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Second
28.20.3
28.328.6
Auto11.8
Teleop12.9
End3.5
red by 5.1
23.11.1
20.018.9
Auto12.5
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Third
5908
#14
9.00.5
5.66.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End0.1
blue by 6.3
15.41.1
14.813.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned