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Red75
90815.9
258223.2
300541.3
Blue7
72717.1
90807.5
949212.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771904060100120757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.8
34.535.3
Auto14.4
Teleop24.5
End2.4
red by 29.0
9492
#13
12.21.9
9.27.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End1.0
Second
23.20.8
23.724.5
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 15.7
9080
#24
7.51.9
9.17.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Third
9081
#30
5.90.8
4.95.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 1.2
7271
#27
7.11.9
6.04.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed