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Red9
42510.5
91568.3
754011.3
Blue28
90807.5
85126.4
74929.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832050100150928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7540
#22
11.32.1
10.28.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End0.5
red by 1.6
7492
#21
9.71.3
12.311.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Second
9156
#26
8.32.1
12.09.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End0.5
red by 0.8
9080
#24
7.52.2
6.94.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Third
4251
#31
0.52.1
3.91.8
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
blue by 5.9
8512
#23
6.42.2
9.06.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed