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Red44
541112.5
59089.0
41817.2
Blue111
300541.3
808826.0
331028.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38104020608012014044111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#20
17.20.2
19.419.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 24.1
41.31.5
35.937.4
Auto14.4
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Second
5411
#16
12.50.3
15.315.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 15.7
28.21.5
28.430.0
Auto11.8
Teleop12.9
End3.5
Third
5908
#14
9.00.3
8.07.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End0.1
blue by 17.0
26.01.5
21.823.3
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed