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Red87
246841.3
75346.5
975228.8
Blue43
41817.2
91568.3
258223.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834702040601001201408743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.1
38.739.8
Auto12.7
Teleop26.7
End1.9
red by 18.1
23.20.3
21.721.4
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
28.81.1
27.128.1
Auto12.9
Teleop15.1
End0.8
red by 11.7
418
#20
17.20.3
16.716.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Third
7534
#25
6.51.6
5.47.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 1.8
9156
#26
8.30.4
8.88.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed