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Red56
268914.6
94074.5
268723.1
Blue3
420615.4
74929.7
42950.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433610203050607080563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.2
21.522.7
Auto12.5
Teleop9.8
End0.9
red by 7.8
15.42.0
15.113.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
Second
2689
#15
14.61.2
14.816.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End1.7
red by 4.8
7492
#21
9.72.0
12.510.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Third
9407
#19
4.51.2
1.52.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.7
End0.3
red by 4.3
4295
#28
0.33.2
5.82.6
Auto0.5
Teleop-0.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed