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Red58
750310.2
331028.2
415312.4
Blue21
85126.4
541112.5
72717.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52320204060805821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.5
28.028.6
Auto11.8
Teleop12.9
End3.5
red by 15.7
5411
#16
12.51.1
13.312.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Second
4153
#12
12.40.8
8.99.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
red by 5.3
7271
#27
7.11.1
8.87.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Third
7503
#10
10.20.5
8.18.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.5
red by 3.7
8512
#23
6.41.1
9.38.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed