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Red39
949212.2
59089.0
667225.0
Blue27
42510.5
910519.2
750611.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38360102030506070803927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.5
16.717.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.0
red by 5.8
9105
#18
19.20.6
18.618.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Second
9492
#13
12.20.5
9.610.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End1.0
red by 0.8
7506
#17
11.40.6
12.511.9
Auto6.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
5908
#14
9.00.5
7.68.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End0.1
red by 8.5
4251
#31
0.50.6
1.71.1
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed