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Red43
908814.6
90807.5
258223.2
Blue51
808826.0
268914.6
75346.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53450204060801004351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.3
24.023.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 2.8
26.00.3
19.920.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End0.7
Second
9088
#11
14.60.3
12.912.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.2
red by 0.1
2689
#15
14.60.3
12.112.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Third
9080
#24
7.50.5
10.510.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
red by 1.0
7534
#25
6.50.4
10.010.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed